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Ligue 1 · 25/26
TH

Thiago Almada

Midfielder · Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1 25/26

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Thiago Almada has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 16 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
0.59
80%Hot8 of 10
2.00
60%6 of 10
0.82
40%4 of 10
0.94
20%2 of 10
0.23
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Olympique Lyonnais at Toulouse
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Thiago Almada featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Angers17 May 78 0 1 0 1 0
@ AS Monaco10 May 90 0 0 3 2 1
RC Lens4 May 90 0 2 0 1 0
Stade Rennais26 Apr 90 1 2 3 1 0
@ Saint-Étienne20 Apr 45 0 2 0 0 0
@ Auxerre13 Apr 85 0 2 0 0 1
Lille5 Apr 89 1 2 1 0 0
@ RC Strasbourg28 Mar 20 0 0 0 1 0
Le Havre16 Mar 90 1 4 1 0 0
@ Nice9 Mar 89 2 2 0 1 0
Officials on record
Benoît Bastien 3 games · Thiago Almada booked in 1 3.99cards/game 1.03×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Ligue 1 official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Thiago Almada have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Thiago Almada has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Thiago Almada average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Thiago Almada is averaging 0.59 shots on target and 2.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Thiago Almada get booked?

Thiago Almada is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Thiago Almada commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Thiago Almada commits 0.94 fouls per 90 and wins 0.82 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Thiago Almada?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Thiago Almada plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.