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Ligue 1 · 25/26
TH

Thilo Kehrer

Defender · AS Monaco · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Thilo Kehrer has hit 1+ shot on target in 4% of 28 Ligue 1 appearances (1 of 28), 1+ total shot in 43%, 1+ foul committed in 64%, 1+ foul won in 57%, and been booked in 29% (8 of 28). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.11
50%5 of 10
0.79
50%5 of 10
0.67
20%2 of 10
0.23
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
AS Monaco at Le Havre
Sun 23 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Thilo Kehrer featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ RC Strasbourg17 May 21 0 0 0 0 0
Lille10 May 80 0 0 1 1 0
@ Metz2 May 90 0 1 1 2 0
@ Toulouse25 Apr 90 0 0 0 2 0
Auxerre19 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 0
@ Paris FC10 Apr 69 0 0 0 0 0
Olympique de Marseille5 Apr 90 0 0 2 0 1
@ Olympique Lyonnais22 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0
Stade Brestois14 Mar 90 0 0 1 0 1
@ Paris Saint-Germain6 Mar 90 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Clement Turpin 9 games · Thilo Kehrer booked in 2 3.36cards/game 0.86×vs league
Eric Wattellier 7 games · Thilo Kehrer booked in 1 3.40cards/game 0.87×vs league
Stephanie Frappart 6 games · Thilo Kehrer booked in 1 3.95cards/game 1.02×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 5 games · Thilo Kehrer booked in 2 4.09cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Thilo Kehrer have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Thilo Kehrer has hit 1+ shot on target in 4% of 28 Ligue 1 appearances (1 of 28). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Thilo Kehrer average?

Across 28 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Thilo Kehrer is averaging 0.04 shots on target and 0.61 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Thilo Kehrer get booked?

Thilo Kehrer is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Thilo Kehrer commit or win more fouls?

This season Thilo Kehrer commits 1.03 fouls per 90 and wins 1.11 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Thilo Kehrer?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Thilo Kehrer plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.