What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Thilo Kehrer has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wide centre-backs
Thilo Kehrer has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League wide centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thilo KehrerAS MonacoUEFA Champions League | 9 | 0.92 | 0.65 |
| Leny YoroManchester United | 32 | 0.46 | 0.88 |
| Nathaniel ClyneCrystal Palace | 10 | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| Pascal StruijkBrighton & Hove Albion | 34 | 0.95 | 0.83 |
| Jaydee CanvotCrystal Palace | 20 | 0.47 | 0.80 |
| Chris RichardsCrystal Palace | 33 | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| These 5, combined | 0.62 | 0.74 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Thilo Kehrer featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves17 Dec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Man City16 Sep | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brighton26 Aug | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Bournemouth12 Aug | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leicester28 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Leeds21 May | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Man Utd7 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Man City3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth23 Apr | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Arsenal16 Apr | 96 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Thilo Kehrer have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Thilo Kehrer has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Thilo Kehrer average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Thilo Kehrer is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.20 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Thilo Kehrer get booked?
Thilo Kehrer is averaging 0.40 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Thilo Kehrer commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Thilo Kehrer commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 0.40 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Thilo Kehrer?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Thilo Kehrer plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.