Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Ligue 1 22/23
VA

Valère Germain

Striker 60% of 5 recent starts MontpellierLigue 1 22/23

Last games
max 31 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Total shots1.01 per 90
10%
1 of 100.1×
Fouls won0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Fouls committed4.04 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles6.07 per 90
60%
6 of 101.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards1.01 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Valère Germain has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Valère Germain featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Stade de Reims3 Jun 9 0 0 0 0 1 0
Lorient14 May 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Olympique Lyonnais7 May 10 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ AS Monaco30 Apr 8 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Lille16 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Olympique de Marseille31 Mar 10 0 0 1 0 1 1
@ Ajaccio12 Mar 8 0 0 1 0 1 0
Angers5 Mar 19 0 0 1 0 1 0
RC Lens25 Feb 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Troyes19 Feb 13 0 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Bastien Dechepy 4 games Valère Germain never booked 4.09cards/game 1.06×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 3 games Valère Germain booked in 1 4.06cards/game 1.05×vs league
Marc Bollengier 3 games Valère Germain never booked 3.74cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Valère Germain have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Valère Germain has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Valère Germain average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Valère Germain is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 1.01 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Valère Germain get booked?

Valère Germain is averaging 1.01 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Valère Germain commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Valère Germain commits 4.04 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Valère Germain?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Valère Germain plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.