Bournemouth v Leicester
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ayew | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 5 | ✓ |
| Evanilson | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| Antoine Semenyo | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 4 | ✓ |
| Daniel Jebbison | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Justin Kluivert | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marcus Tavernier | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 5 | ✓ |
| Patson Daka | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| David Brooks | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Evanilson | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Patson Daka | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jordan Ayew | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kasey McAteer | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Antoine Semenyo | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 3 | ✓ |
| Marcus Tavernier | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 44% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 34% | 2 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Leicester 1–0 Bournemouth Oct 2024
- Leicester 0–1 Bournemouth Apr 2023
- Bournemouth 2–1 Leicester Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.