Lewis Smith
Lewis Smith has not taken charge of a Premier League match in 26/27. The figures below are a career record. Over the last 10 Premier League games Lewis Smith has officiated, the average is 4.60 cards a match — 13% above the league average of 4.08. That splits 4.3 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 3 of the 10. Home and away sides fare about the same here (2.3 v 2.3 a game), where the league tilts +0.3 toward the away side. 5+ cards landed in 50% of those games (5 of 10), from a 19.2% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Lewis Smith turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Premier League season on record.
| Measure | Smith | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.60 | 4.08 |
| vs league | 1.13× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 19.2% | 18.6% |
| Fouls / match | 24.0 | 21.9 |
| Red cards shown | 3 | — |
| Matches on record | 10 (0 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Premier League games Lewis Smith took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea v Burnley21 Feb | 1–1 | 6 1 red | 5 | 1 | 24 |
| Bournemouth v Leicester25 May | 2–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 35 |
| Everton v Ipswich3 May | 2–2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| Liverpool v Southampton8 Mar | 3–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| Southampton v West Ham26 Dec | 0–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 |
| Aston Villa v Brentford4 Dec | 3–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 26 |
| Brentford v Ipswich26 Oct | 4–3 | 3 1 red | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| Ipswich v Fulham31 Aug | 1–1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 30 |
● a red card in that match
Lewis Smith has officiated only 10 matches on our record — a thin sample. The model shrinks a thin referee tendency toward the league average and discounts its confidence until the evidence builds, so read the numbers above gently.
Frequently asked
How many cards does Lewis Smith give per game?
Lewis Smith averages 4.60 cards a game across 10 Premier League matches — 13% above the league average of 4.08. That's a raw rate from only 10 matches, so the model shrinks it toward the league average rather than trusting it outright.
Is Lewis Smith a strict referee?
Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Lewis Smith runs at 19.2% against a league average of 18.6%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Lewis Smith's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Lewis Smith's card rate?
It rests on 10 career matches, still a thin sample — read it gently. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.