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Premier League · 25/26

Brentford v Wolves

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Brentford2 – 2 Wolves 16 Mar 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Igor Thiago shots total 1+ 93% 3
Mateus Mané shots total 1+ 88% 1
Kevin Schade shots total 1+ 88% 0
Dango Ouattara shots total 1+ 88% 1
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde fouls drawn 1+ 85% 3
Keane Lewis-Potter fouls drawn 1+ 84% 2
Mateus Mané fouls drawn 1+ 84% 0
Keane Lewis-Potter shots total 1+ 83% 1
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde shots total 1+ 79% 0
Michael Kayode fouls drawn 1+ 78% 3
Dango Ouattara fouls drawn 1+ 78% 0
Kevin Schade fouls drawn 1+ 78% 1
João Gomes fouls committed 1+ 78% 1
Igor Thiago fouls committed 1+ 78% 2

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 52% 4 goals
Btts Yes 52% Yes
Match cards O4.5 29% 6 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.