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Premier League · 23/24

Burnley v Sheffield United

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Burnley5 – 0 Sheffield United 2 Dec 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Zeki Amdouni shots total 1+ 100% 2
Jay Rodriguez shots total 1+ 100% 2
Jacob Bruun Larsen shots total 1+ 100% 4
Oli McBurnie shots total 1+ 96% 0
William Osula shots total 1+ 93% 3
Luca Koleosho shots total 1+ 93% 3
Gustavo Hamer shots total 1+ 88% 1
Cameron Archer shots total 1+ 88% 1
Bénie Traoré shots total 1+ 88% 0
Zeki Amdouni fouls drawn 1+ 84% 3
Jóhann Guðmundsson shots total 1+ 83% 1
Josh Brownhill shots total 1+ 80% 2
John Fleck shots total 1+ 78% 0
James McAtee shots total 1+ 77% 0

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 44% 9 cards
Btts Yes 43% No
Match goals O2.5 39% 5 goals

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.