Premier League · 24/25
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Chelsea v Leicester
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Chelsea1 – 0
Leicester
9 Mar 2025
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Palmer | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 5 | ✓ |
| Christopher Nkunku | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 3 | ✓ |
| Pedro Neto | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Enzo Fernández | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 4 | ✓ |
| Jamie Vardy | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Patson Daka | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Moisés Caicedo | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Patson Daka | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Enzo Fernández | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Enzo Fernández | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Patson Daka | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 4 | ✓ |
| Cole Palmer | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Wilfred Ndidi | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jadon Sancho | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 65% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 53% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 44% | 1 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Chelsea & Leicester player stats→
Chelsea players & stats→
Leicester players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Leicester 1–2 Chelsea Nov 2024
- Leicester 1–3 Chelsea Mar 2023
- Chelsea 2–1 Leicester Aug 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.