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Premier League · 25/26

Chelsea v Wolves

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Chelsea3 – 0 Wolves 8 Nov 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Alejandro Garnacho shots total 1+ 96% 3
Liam Delap shots total 1+ 93% 2
Estêvão shots total 1+ 93% 0
João Pedro shots total 1+ 88% 3
Pedro Neto shots total 1+ 88% 1
Mateus Mané shots total 1+ 88% 0
Enzo Fernández shots total 1+ 88% 5
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde fouls drawn 1+ 86% 2
Alejandro Garnacho fouls drawn 1+ 85% 1
João Gomes fouls committed 1+ 85% 4
João Pedro fouls drawn 1+ 85% 2
Moisés Caicedo fouls drawn 1+ 84% 1
Liam Delap fouls drawn 1+ 84% 2
Liam Delap fouls committed 1+ 81% 0

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 53% 3 goals
Btts Yes 52% No
Match cards O4.5 29% 3 cards

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Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.