Chelsea v Wolves
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Garnacho | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 3 | ✓ |
| Liam Delap | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Estêvão | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| João Pedro | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Pedro Neto | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mateus Mané | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Enzo Fernández | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 5 | ✓ |
| Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Garnacho | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| João Gomes | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 4 | ✓ |
| João Pedro | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Moisés Caicedo | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Liam Delap | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Liam Delap | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 52% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 3 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Wolves 1–3 Chelsea Feb 2026
- Chelsea 3–1 Wolves Jan 2025
- Wolves 2–6 Chelsea Aug 2024
- Chelsea 2–4 Wolves Feb 2024
- Wolves 2–1 Chelsea Dec 2023
- Wolves 1–0 Chelsea Apr 2023
- Chelsea 3–0 Wolves Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.