Premier League · 25/26

Wolves v Chelsea

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Wolves1 – 3 Chelsea 7 Feb 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Cole Palmer	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Tolu Arokodare	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Alejandro Garnacho	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Mateus Mané	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
João Pedro	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Enzo Fernández	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
João Gomes	fouls committed	1+	86%	0	✗
Moisés Caicedo	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
João Pedro	fouls drawn	1+	84%	3	✓
Mateus Mané	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
Alejandro Garnacho	fouls drawn	1+	84%	0	✗
Cole Palmer	fouls drawn	1+	84%	0	✗
Adam Armstrong	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Rodrigo Gomes	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	52%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	52%	4 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	44%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Wolves & Chelsea player stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Chelsea players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works