Premier League · 24/25

Leicester v Brighton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leicester2 – 2 Brighton 8 Dec 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Jordan Ayew	fouls drawn	1+	100%	0	✗
Georginio Rutter	shots total	1+	100%	0	✗
João Pedro	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Danny Welbeck	shots total	1+	95%	2	✓
Evan Ferguson	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Carlos Baleba	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Kaoru Mitoma	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Georginio Rutter	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
João Pedro	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Jordan Ayew	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Yankuba Minteh	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Bilal El Khannouss	fouls committed	1+	78%	1	✓
Bobby De Cordova-Reid	shots total	1+	78%	2	✓
Carlos Baleba	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	54%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	54%	4 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	44%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Leicester & Brighton player stats→ Leicester players & stats→ Brighton players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works