Premier League · 24/25

Leicester v Crystal Palace

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leicester0 – 2 Crystal Palace 15 Jan 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Eberechi Eze	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Ismaïla Sarr	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Jean-Philippe Mateta	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Jamie Vardy	shots total	1+	88%	6	✓
Will Hughes	fouls committed	1+	86%	2	✓
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Eberechi Eze	fouls drawn	1+	84%	0	✗
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls committed	1+	82%	1	✓
Patson Daka	shots total	1+	80%	4	✓
Daichi Kamada	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Jefferson Lerma	shots total	1+	78%	0	✗
Ismaïla Sarr	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Daichi Kamada	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗
Bilal El Khannouss	fouls committed	1+	77%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	52%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	43%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	28%	0 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Leicester & Crystal Palace player stats→ Leicester players & stats→ Crystal Palace players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works