Premier League · 24/25

Liverpool v Leicester

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Liverpool3 – 1 Leicester 26 Dec 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Cody Gakpo	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Darwin Núñez	shots total	1+	100%	4	✓
Mohamed Salah	shots total	1+	100%	5	✓
Curtis Jones	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Jordan Ayew	fouls drawn	1+	86%	7	✓
Facundo Buonanotte	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Patson Daka	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Mohamed Salah	shots on target	1+	80%	3	✓
Alexis Mac Allister	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Ryan Gravenberch	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Patson Daka	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Alexis Mac Allister	fouls committed	1+	78%	5	✓
Darwin Núñez	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓
Trent Alexander-Arnold	shots total	1+	77%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	77%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	52%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	34%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Liverpool & Leicester player stats→ Liverpool players & stats→ Leicester players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works