Premier League · 25/26

Liverpool v Wolves

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Liverpool2 – 1 Wolves 27 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Federico Chiesa	shots total	1+	100%	0	✗
Hugo Ekitiké	shots total	1+	96%	4	✓
Tolu Arokodare	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Alexis Mac Allister	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Mateus Mané	shots total	1+	83%	4	✓
João Gomes	fouls committed	1+	79%	2	✓
Florian Wirtz	shots total	1+	78%	2	✓
Conor Bradley	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Mateus Mané	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Federico Chiesa	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
João Gomes	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Jørgen Strand Larsen	fouls committed	1+	76%	0	✗
Hwang Hee-chan	fouls committed	1+	75%	3	✓
Curtis Jones	fouls drawn	1+	73%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	54%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	44%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	29%	1 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Liverpool & Wolves player stats→ Liverpool players & stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works