Nottingham Forest v West Ham
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ndoye | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jarrod Bowen | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Chris Wood | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 3 | ✓ |
| James McAtee | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Callum Wilson | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 4 | ✓ |
| Niclas Füllkrug | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Dan Ndoye | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tomáš Souček | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lucas Paquetá | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Niclas Füllkrug | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Callum Hudson Odoi | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jarrod Bowen | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lucas Paquetá | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 3 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 52% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 43% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 0 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- West Ham 1–2 Nottingham Forest Jan 2026
- West Ham 1–2 Nottingham Forest May 2025
- Nottingham Forest 3–0 West Ham Nov 2024
- Nottingham Forest 2–0 West Ham Feb 2024
- West Ham 3–2 Nottingham Forest Nov 2023
- West Ham 4–0 Nottingham Forest Feb 2023
- Nottingham Forest 1–0 West Ham Aug 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.