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Premier League · 23/24

Sheffield United v Arsenal

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Sheffield United0 – 6 Arsenal 4 Mar 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Gabriel Jesus shots total 1+ 100% 1
Bukayo Saka shots total 1+ 100% 3
Gabriel Martinelli shots total 1+ 96% 4
Kai Havertz shots total 1+ 93% 2
Martin Ødegaard shots total 1+ 93% 4
Fábio Vieira shots total 1+ 88% 0
Fábio Vieira fouls drawn 1+ 84% 0
Gabriel Jesus fouls drawn 1+ 84% 1
Bukayo Saka fouls drawn 1+ 84% 0
Gabriel Jesus shots on target 1+ 80% 1
Bukayo Saka shots on target 1+ 80% 0
William Osula shots total 1+ 78% 1
Oli McBurnie shots total 1+ 78% 0
Declan Rice shots total 1+ 78% 5

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 52% 6 goals
Btts Yes 39% No
Match cards O4.5 29% 1 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.