Sheffield United v Arsenal
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Jesus | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bukayo Saka | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Martinelli | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 4 | ✓ |
| Kai Havertz | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Martin Ødegaard | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 4 | ✓ |
| Fábio Vieira | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Fábio Vieira | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gabriel Jesus | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bukayo Saka | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gabriel Jesus | shots on target | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bukayo Saka | shots on target | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| William Osula | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Oli McBurnie | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Declan Rice | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 5 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 52% | 6 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 39% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 1 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Arsenal 5–0 Sheffield United Oct 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.