Premier League · 23/24
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Sheffield United v Aston Villa
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Sheffield United0 – 5
Aston Villa
3 Feb 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Moussa Diaby | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Leon Bailey | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| William Osula | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| John McGinn | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ben Brereton Díaz | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Douglas Luiz | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| John McGinn | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezri Konsa | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Cameron Archer | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Ramsey | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Vinícius Souza | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gustavo Hamer | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Matty Cash | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 58% | 1 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 52% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 52% | 5 goals | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Sheffield United & Aston Villa player stats→
Sheffield United players & stats→
Aston Villa players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Aston Villa 1–1 Sheffield United Dec 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.