Premier League · 23/24
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Aston Villa v Sheffield United
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Aston Villa1 – 1
Sheffield United
22 Dec 2023
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Bailey | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ollie Watkins | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Moussa Diaby | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Douglas Luiz | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Ramsey | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| John McGinn | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| John McGinn | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Cameron Archer | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ollie Watkins | shots on target | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Vinícius Souza | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ezri Konsa | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Matty Cash | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jayden Bogle | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gustavo Hamer | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 63% | 6 cards | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 60% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 39% | Yes | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Aston Villa & Sheffield United player stats→
Aston Villa players & stats→
Sheffield United players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Sheffield United 0–5 Aston Villa Feb 2024
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.