Premier League · 23/24

Sheffield United v Luton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Sheffield United2 – 3 Luton 26 Dec 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Jacob Brown	shots total	1+	96%	1	✓
Elijah Adebayo	shots total	1+	96%	1	✓
Andros Townsend	shots total	1+	96%	3	✓
Oli McBurnie	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Ross Barkley	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Gustavo Hamer	shots total	1+	78%	4	✓
James McAtee	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Albert Sambi Lokonga	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
James McAtee	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Oli McBurnie	fouls drawn	1+	78%	4	✓
Ryan Giles	shots total	1+	74%	0	✗
Andre Brooks	shots total	1+	74%	2	✓
Cameron Archer	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	43%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	39%	5 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	29%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Sheffield United & Luton player stats→ Sheffield United players & stats→ Luton players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Luton 1–3 Sheffield United Feb 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works