Luton v Sheffield United
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton Morris | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
| Elijah Adebayo | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 4 | ✓ |
| Chiedozie Ogbene | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Andros Townsend | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ross Barkley | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 3 | ✓ |
| Cameron Archer | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gustavo Hamer | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tahith Chong | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tom Davies | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tahith Chong | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Chiedozie Ogbene | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jordan Clark | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tom Davies | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 53% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 3 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sheffield United 2–3 Luton Dec 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.