Premier League · 24/25

Southampton v Ipswich

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Southampton1 – 1 Ipswich 21 Sep 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Ben Brereton Díaz	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	96%	3	✓
Ross Stewart	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Jack Clarke	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Liam Delap	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Adam Lallana	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Ryan Fraser	fouls drawn	1+	85%	1	✓
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	85%	4	✓
Tyler Dibling	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Ryan Fraser	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Yukinari Sugawara	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Mateus Fernandes	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Ben Brereton Díaz	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Mateus Fernandes	fouls drawn	1+	78%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	44%	8 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	29%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	29%	2 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Southampton & Ipswich player stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Ipswich players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Ipswich 1–2 Southampton Feb 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works