Premier League · 24/25

Ipswich v Southampton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Ipswich1 – 2 Southampton 1 Feb 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Julio Enciso	shots total	1+	100%	6	✓
Paul Onuachu	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Nathan Broadhead	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Liam Delap	shots total	1+	88%	4	✓
Jaden Philogene-Bidace	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Kamaldeen Sulemana	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Julio Enciso	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Liam Delap	fouls committed	1+	82%	1	✓
Mateus Fernandes	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Omari Hutchinson	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Nathan Broadhead	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Liam Delap	fouls drawn	1+	78%	3	✓
Paul Onuachu	fouls committed	1+	77%	4	✓
Will Smallbone	shots total	1+	77%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	53%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	52%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	25%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Ipswich & Southampton player stats→ Ipswich players & stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Southampton 1–1 Ipswich Sep 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works