Premier League · 24/25

Southampton v Liverpool

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Southampton2 – 3 Liverpool 24 Nov 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Mohamed Salah	shots total	1+	100%	7	✓
Cody Gakpo	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Darwin Núñez	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Luis Díaz	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Dominik Szoboszlai	shots total	1+	88%	5	✓
Paul Onuachu	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	85%	1	✓
Luis Díaz	fouls committed	1+	81%	0	✗
Adam Armstrong	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Curtis Jones	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Ryan Gravenberch	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Cody Gakpo	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Ryan Fraser	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Paul Onuachu	fouls committed	1+	77%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	65%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	52%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	29%	7 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Southampton & Liverpool player stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Liverpool players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works