Premier League · 24/25

Southampton v Man City

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Southampton0 – 0 Man City 10 May 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Erling Haaland	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Phil Foden	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Kevin De Bruyne	shots total	1+	95%	5	✓
James McAtee	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Mateo Kovačić	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Jérémy Doku	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Jérémy Doku	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
Rico Lewis	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Phil Foden	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Flynn Downes	fouls committed	1+	78%	1	✓
Mateus Fernandes	fouls drawn	1+	73%	2	✓
Bernardo Silva	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	73%	1	✓
Erling Haaland	shots on target	1+	72%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	65%	0 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	50%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	25%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Southampton & Man City player stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Man City players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works