Premier League · 24/25

Southampton v Man Utd

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Southampton0 – 3 Man Utd 14 Sep 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Ben Brereton Díaz	shots total	1+	96%	0	✗
Maxwel Cornet	shots total	1+	95%	0	✗
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Bruno Fernandes	shots total	1+	93%	5	✓
Joshua Zirkzee	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Amad Diallo	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Adam Lallana	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Mateus Fernandes	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Ryan Fraser	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Tyler Dibling	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Yukinari Sugawara	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Ryan Fraser	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Marcus Rashford	shots total	1+	77%	4	✓
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	73%	4	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	54%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	53%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	25%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Southampton & Man Utd player stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Man Utd players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works