Premier League · 24/25

Southampton v Tottenham

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Southampton0 – 5 Tottenham 15 Dec 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
James Maddison	fouls drawn	1+	100%	3	✓
Dominic Solanke	shots total	1+	96%	1	✓
Son Heung-min	shots total	1+	93%	7	✓
Brennan Johnson	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
James Maddison	shots total	1+	90%	3	✓
Dejan Kulusevski	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Adam Armstrong	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	85%	2	✓
Flynn Downes	fouls committed	1+	82%	0	✗
Pedro Porro	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Pape Matar Sarr	fouls committed	1+	79%	1	✓
Lucas Bergvall	shots total	1+	78%	0	✗
Pape Matar Sarr	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Kyle Walker-Peters	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	69%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	65%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	50%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Southampton & Tottenham player stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Tottenham players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works