Premier League · 24/25

Southampton v Wolves

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Southampton1 – 2 Wolves 15 Mar 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 7 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Marshall Munetsi	shots total	1+	96%	0	✗
Paul Onuachu	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Gonçalo Guedes	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Pablo Sarabia	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Kamaldeen Sulemana	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Jørgen Strand Larsen	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	fouls drawn	1+	85%	3	✓
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	84%	5	✓
Paul Onuachu	fouls committed	1+	82%	0	✗
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
João Gomes	fouls committed	1+	80%	2	✓
Tyler Dibling	shots total	1+	78%	3	✓
Mateus Fernandes	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	53%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	52%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	44%	0 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Southampton & Wolves player stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works