Premier League · 24/25

Wolves v Southampton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Wolves2 – 0 Southampton 9 Nov 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Matheus Cunha	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Adam Armstrong	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Pablo Sarabia	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Jørgen Strand Larsen	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Tyler Dibling	fouls drawn	1+	84%	5	✓
Matheus Cunha	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
João Gomes	fouls committed	1+	80%	2	✓
Adam Lallana	shots total	1+	78%	0	✗
Kyle Walker-Peters	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	fouls drawn	1+	78%	4	✓
Joe Aribo	shots total	1+	77%	0	✗
Tyler Dibling	shots total	1+	77%	1	✓
Mario Lemina	shots total	1+	74%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	53%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	53%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	50%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Wolves & Southampton player stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works