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Premier League · 25/26

Sunderland v West Ham

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Sunderland3 – 0 West Ham 16 Aug 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Lucas Paquetá fouls drawn 1+ 100% 2
Simon Adingra shots total 1+ 96% 1
Jarrod Bowen shots total 1+ 93% 4
Niclas Füllkrug shots total 1+ 88% 2
Lucas Paquetá fouls committed 1+ 81% 1
Granit Xhaka shots total 1+ 77% 0
Niclas Füllkrug fouls committed 1+ 77% 5
Reinildo Mandava fouls committed 1+ 74% 1
Reinildo Mandava fouls drawn 1+ 73% 1
Jarrod Bowen fouls drawn 1+ 73% 2
James Ward-Prowse shots total 1+ 73% 0
Lucas Paquetá shots total 1+ 73% 0
Guido Rodríguez fouls committed 1+ 69% 0
Omar Alderete shots total 1+ 68% 0

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Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.