Premier League · 25/26
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West Ham v Sunderland
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
West Ham3 – 1
Sunderland
24 Jan 2026
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentín Castellanos | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Callum Wilson | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jarrod Bowen | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Brian Brobbey | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Pablo Felipe | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Eliezer Mayenda | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Romaine Mundle | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Crysencio Summerville | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Chemsdine Talbi | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Crysencio Summerville | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Enzo Le Fée | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Habib Diarra | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Reinildo Mandava | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tomáš Souček | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 43% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 39% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 23% | 6 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
West Ham & Sunderland player stats→
West Ham players & stats→
Sunderland players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Sunderland 3–0 West Ham Aug 2025
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.