Premier League · 25/26

West Ham v Chelsea

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

West Ham1 – 5 Chelsea 22 Aug 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Lucas Paquetá	fouls drawn	1+	100%	1	✓
Liam Delap	shots total	1+	96%	1	✓
João Pedro	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Pedro Neto	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Estêvão	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Jarrod Bowen	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Niclas Füllkrug	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Andrey Santos	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Callum Wilson	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Niclas Füllkrug	fouls committed	1+	84%	0	✗
Lucas Paquetá	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Liam Delap	fouls committed	1+	80%	0	✗
Enzo Fernández	shots total	1+	79%	3	✓
Tomáš Souček	shots total	1+	78%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	54%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	53%	6 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	28%	1 cards	✗

Dig deeper

West Ham & Chelsea player stats→ West Ham players & stats→ Chelsea players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works