Premier League · 24/25

West Ham v Ipswich

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

West Ham4 – 1 Ipswich 5 Oct 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Liam Delap	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Jack Clarke	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Mohammed Kudus	shots total	1+	88%	5	✓
Jarrod Bowen	shots total	1+	88%	5	✓
Michail Antonio	shots total	1+	88%	4	✓
Mohammed Kudus	fouls drawn	1+	86%	0	✗
Tomáš Souček	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Lucas Paquetá	fouls committed	1+	80%	0	✗
Edson Álvarez	fouls committed	1+	80%	1	✓
Tomáš Souček	fouls committed	1+	79%	1	✓
Carlos Soler	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Lucas Paquetá	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Carlos Soler	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Carlos Soler	fouls committed	1+	77%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	53%	1 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	50%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	43%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

West Ham & Ipswich player stats→ West Ham players & stats→ Ipswich players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Ipswich 1–3 West Ham May 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works