Premier League · 25/26

Wolves v Arsenal

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Wolves2 – 2 Arsenal 18 Feb 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Gabriel Jesus	shots total	1+	100%	0	✗
Gabriel Martinelli	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Bukayo Saka	shots total	1+	96%	1	✓
Eberechi Eze	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Noni Madueke	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Viktor Gyökeres	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Bukayo Saka	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Eberechi Eze	fouls drawn	1+	86%	0	✗
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	fouls drawn	1+	85%	0	✗
Mateus Mané	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Tolu Arokodare	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Mateus Mané	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	fouls committed	1+	76%	2	✓
Declan Rice	shots total	1+	74%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	34%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	34%	4 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	25%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Wolves & Arsenal player stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Arsenal players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works