Premier League · 25/26
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Wolves v Leeds
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Wolves1 – 3
Leeds
20 Sep 2025
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Noah Okafor | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Fer López | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tolu Arokodare | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marshall Munetsi | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rodrigo Gomes | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| João Gomes | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Brenden Aaronson | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 3 | ✓ |
| Anton Stach | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| João Gomes | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 43% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 39% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 28% | 2 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Wolves & Leeds player stats→
Wolves players & stats→
Leeds players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Leeds 3–0 Wolves Apr 2026
- Wolves 2–4 Leeds Mar 2023
- Leeds 2–1 Wolves Aug 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.