Premier League · 25/26

Wolves v Man Utd

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Wolves1 – 4 Man Utd 8 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Matheus Cunha	fouls drawn	1+	100%	1	✓
Matheus Cunha	shots total	1+	100%	8	✓
Bruno Fernandes	shots total	1+	95%	5	✓
Fer López	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Tolu Arokodare	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Bryan Mbeumo	shots total	1+	93%	4	✓
Mateus Mané	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Jhon Arias	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Mason Mount	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Amad Diallo	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Casemiro	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	fouls drawn	1+	85%	3	✓
Amad Diallo	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
Casemiro	fouls committed	1+	77%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	52%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	50%	5 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	25%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Wolves & Man Utd player stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Man Utd players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works