Premier League · 25/26

Man Utd v Wolves

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Man Utd1 – 1 Wolves 30 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Matheus Cunha	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Patrick Dorgu	fouls drawn	1+	100%	2	✓
Mateus Mané	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Tolu Arokodare	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Benjamin Šeško	shots total	1+	93%	6	✓
Joshua Zirkzee	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Casemiro	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Jhon Arias	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Matheus Cunha	fouls drawn	1+	86%	5	✓
Manuel Ugarte	fouls committed	1+	82%	2	✓
Casemiro	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓
João Gomes	fouls committed	1+	78%	1	✓
Hwang Hee-chan	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗
Hwang Hee-chan	shots total	1+	74%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	53%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	52%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	25%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Man Utd & Wolves player stats→ Man Utd players & stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works