Premier League · 25/26

Wolves v Newcastle

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Wolves0 – 0 Newcastle 18 Jan 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Yoane Wissa	shots total	1+	96%	0	✗
Harvey Barnes	shots total	1+	96%	1	✓
Nick Woltemade	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Anthony Gordon	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Mateus Mané	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Tolu Arokodare	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Bruno Guimarães	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Sandro Tonali	fouls drawn	1+	85%	1	✓
Anthony Gordon	fouls drawn	1+	85%	0	✗
João Gomes	fouls committed	1+	82%	1	✓
Jørgen Strand Larsen	fouls committed	1+	81%	1	✓
Hwang Hee-chan	fouls committed	1+	80%	0	✗
Bruno Guimarães	shots total	1+	78%	2	✓
Joelinton	shots total	1+	78%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	50%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	43%	0 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	29%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Wolves & Newcastle player stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Newcastle players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works