Premier League · 25/26

Wolves v Nottingham Forest

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Wolves0 – 1 Nottingham Forest 3 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Igor Jesus	shots total	1+	96%	4	✓
Morgan Gibbs-White	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Jhon Arias	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Omari Hutchinson	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Elliot Anderson	fouls drawn	1+	86%	6	✓
Dan Ndoye	fouls drawn	1+	86%	0	✗
Ryan Yates	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
João Gomes	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Ryan Yates	fouls committed	1+	82%	0	✗
Jørgen Strand Larsen	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Hwang Hee-chan	shots total	1+	78%	0	✗
Callum Hudson Odoi	shots total	1+	78%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	50%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	43%	1 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	34%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Wolves & Nottingham Forest player stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Nottingham Forest players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works