Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
AA

Aaron Hickey

Full-back 67% of 30 recent starts BrentfordPremier League 26/27

Next match
Brentford at Aston Villa›
Sat 10 OctReferee Craig Pawson

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.20MGMEdge
Total shots0.61 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
1.62bet365Edge
Fouls won2.42 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
1.29bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.21 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.36bet365Edge
Tackles2.73 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
3.50bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Aaron Hickey has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Aaron Hickey in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Aaron HickeyBrentford 210.75 0.88
Ben WhiteArsenal 120.63 0.63
Maxim De CuyperBrighton & Hove Albion 300.81 1.12
Rico HenryBrentford 250.34 1.01
Lucas DigneParis Saint-Germain 310.68 0.68
Jeremie FrimpongLiverpool FC 210.84 0.67
These 5, combined 0.66 0.84

Recent matches

The last 10 games Aaron Hickey featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Chelsea18 Sep 21 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Bournemouth12 Sep 71 0 1 1 3 2 0
Sunderland5 Sep 45 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Leeds30 Aug 2 0 0 0 0 1 0
Tottenham22 Aug 14 0 0 2 1 0 0
@ Liverpool24 May 30 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Man City9 May 61 0 1 0 1 1 0
West Ham2 May 8 0 0 0 0 1 0
Brighton21 Feb 44 0 0 0 3 2 0
Arsenal12 Feb 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
John Brooks 8 games Aaron Hickey booked in 1 4.59cards/game 1.12×vs league
Peter Bankes 5 games Aaron Hickey booked in 1 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Michael Oliver 4 games Aaron Hickey booked in 2 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Andy Madley 4 games Aaron Hickey booked in 1 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Aaron Hickey have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Aaron Hickey has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Aaron Hickey average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Aaron Hickey is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.61 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Aaron Hickey get booked?

Aaron Hickey is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Aaron Hickey commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Aaron Hickey commits 1.21 fouls per 90 and wins 2.42 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Aaron Hickey?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Aaron Hickey plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.