What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 7 games
Compared with a Premier League forward, 25/26, 2,530 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 7 Premier League games, Ashley Barnes has hit 1+ shot on target in 14% (1 of 7), 1+ total shot in 29%, 1+ foul committed in 29%, 1+ foul won in 14%, and been booked in 14% (1 of 7). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable attacking midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Ashley Barnes in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 32 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley BarnesBurnley | 7 | 1.96 | 1.96 |
| Hannibal MejbriBurnley | 27 | 1.36 | 1.72 |
| Carlos AlcarazEverton | 20 | 2.47 | 1.23 |
| Jean-Ricner BellegardeWolverhampton | 26 | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Justin KluivertBournemouth | 20 | 1.61 | 1.70 |
| Lucas PaquetáWest Ham United | 18 | 1.36 | 1.66 |
| These 5, combined | 1.58 | 1.58 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 7 games Ashley Barnes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves24 May | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Fulham21 Mar | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Everton3 Mar | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brentford28 Feb | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea21 Feb | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Newcastle30 Dec | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leeds18 Oct | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Ashley Barnes have a shot on target?
Over the last 7 Premier League games, Ashley Barnes has hit 1+ shot on target in 14% (1 of 7). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ashley Barnes average?
Across the last 7 Premier League games, Ashley Barnes is averaging 0.98 shots on target and 1.96 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ashley Barnes get booked?
Ashley Barnes is averaging 0.98 cards per 90 over the last 7 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ashley Barnes commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 7 games Ashley Barnes commits 1.96 fouls per 90 and wins 1.96 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ashley Barnes?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ashley Barnes plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.