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Championship · 25/26
AS

Ashley Barnes

Forward · Burnley · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ashley Barnes has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.58
30%3 of 10
1.75
40%4 of 10
3.51
20%2 of 10
1.75
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Burnley vs West Ham United
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ashley Barnes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Millwall3 May 79 0 1 0 3 0
@ Queens Park Rangers26 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 0
Sheffield United21 Apr 9 0 0 0 1 0
@ Watford18 Apr 11 0 0 0 1 0
Norwich11 Apr 1 0 0 1 0 0
@ Derby County8 Apr 15 0 0 2 0 0
@ Swansea City15 Mar 1 0 1 0 0 0
West Brom11 Mar 11 0 0 0 0 0
Luton8 Mar 16 1 1 0 1 0
Hull City12 Feb 1 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Oliver Langford 6 games · Ashley Barnes booked in 1 3.74cards/game 0.93×vs league
Leigh Doughty 5 games · Ashley Barnes booked in 1 4.54cards/game 1.13×vs league
David Webb 5 games · Ashley Barnes never booked 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
Gavin Ward 5 games · Ashley Barnes never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Ashley Barnes have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ashley Barnes has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Ashley Barnes average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Ashley Barnes is averaging 0.58 shots on target and 1.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ashley Barnes get booked?

Ashley Barnes is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ashley Barnes commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ashley Barnes commits 1.75 fouls per 90 and wins 3.51 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ashley Barnes?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Ashley Barnes plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.