Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Championship 24/25
AS

Ashley Barnes

Attacking midfielder 77% of 30 recent starts BurnleyChampionship 24/25

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Burnley at Watford›
Sat 10 OctReferee Andy Madley

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,516 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.58 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
1.70MGMEdge
Total shots1.75 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
Fouls won3.51 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Fouls committed1.75 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Tackles0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.58 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
form only
Assists0.58 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ashley Barnes has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ashley Barnes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Millwall3 May 79 0 1 0 3 0 0
@ Queens Park Rangers26 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sheffield United21 Apr 9 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Watford18 Apr 11 0 0 0 1 0 0
Norwich11 Apr 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Derby County8 Apr 15 0 0 2 0 0 0
@ Swansea City15 Mar 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
West Brom11 Mar 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
Luton8 Mar 16 1 1 0 1 0 0
Hull City12 Feb 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Oliver Langford 6 games Ashley Barnes booked in 1 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
David Webb 5 games Ashley Barnes never booked 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Gavin Ward 5 games Ashley Barnes never booked 3.73cards/game 0.93×vs league
Matt Donohue 5 games Ashley Barnes never booked 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ashley Barnes have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ashley Barnes has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ashley Barnes average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Ashley Barnes is averaging 0.58 shots on target and 1.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ashley Barnes get booked?

Ashley Barnes is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ashley Barnes commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ashley Barnes commits 1.75 fouls per 90 and wins 3.51 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ashley Barnes?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ashley Barnes plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.