What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Evan Ferguson has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Evan Ferguson has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evan FergusonBrighton & Hove AlbionSerie A | 16 | 3.13 | 1.28 |
| Wilson IsidorSunderland | 32 | 3.30 | 1.07 |
| Benjamin ŠeškoManchester United | 30 | 3.36 | 0.94 |
| Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace | 32 | 2.55 | 0.85 |
| Callum WilsonBrentford | 32 | 2.71 | 0.86 |
| Lukas NmechaLeeds United | 31 | 2.47 | 1.48 |
| These 5, combined | 2.86 | 1.00 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Evan Ferguson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham4 May | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Southampton19 Apr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wolves1 Apr | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Everton15 Mar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Newcastle10 Mar | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Leicester27 Feb | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal22 Feb | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brentford15 Feb | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest1 Feb | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ West Ham21 Dec | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Evan Ferguson have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Evan Ferguson has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Evan Ferguson average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Evan Ferguson is averaging 0.48 shots on target and 2.90 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Evan Ferguson get booked?
Evan Ferguson is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Evan Ferguson commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Evan Ferguson commits 0.48 fouls per 90 and wins 0.97 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Evan Ferguson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Evan Ferguson plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.