What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Evan Ferguson has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Evan Ferguson in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evan FergusonBrighton & Hove Albion | 16 | 3.13 | 1.28 |
| GiovaneSSC Napoli | 33 | 2.68 | 1.15 |
| Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta | 24 | 3.89 | 1.77 |
| Giovanni SimeoneTorino | 32 | 3.17 | 1.24 |
| Christian PulišićAC Milan | 30 | 3.02 | 0.61 |
| Duván ZapataTorino | 28 | 2.72 | 1.20 |
| These 5, combined | 3.08 | 1.18 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Evan Ferguson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo10 Jan | 39 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lecce6 Jan | 60 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Atalanta3 Jan | 60 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Genoa29 Dec | 85 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Juventus20 Dec | 34 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Como15 Dec | 90 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari7 Dec | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| SSC Napoli30 Nov | 45 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cremonese23 Nov | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parma29 Oct | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Evan Ferguson have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Evan Ferguson has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Evan Ferguson average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Evan Ferguson is averaging 2.26 shots on target and 3.58 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Evan Ferguson get booked?
Evan Ferguson is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Evan Ferguson commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Evan Ferguson commits 0.75 fouls per 90 and wins 0.75 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Evan Ferguson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Evan Ferguson plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.