What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 9 games
Compared with a Premier League forward, 25/26, 2,530 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 9 Premier League games, Fer López has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% (1 of 9), 1+ total shot in 44%, 1+ foul committed in 56%, 1+ foul won in 22%, and been booked in 11% (1 of 9). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Fer López in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 87 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fer LópezWolverhampton | 9 | 1.91 | 2.29 |
| Joe WillockNewcastle United | 24 | 1.51 | 1.42 |
| Lucas BergvallTottenham Hotspur | 23 | 1.10 | 2.21 |
| Pape Matar SarrJuventus | 26 | 1.09 | 1.87 |
| Mikel MerinoArsenal | 22 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| JoelintonNewcastle United | 27 | 1.47 | 2.17 |
| These 5, combined | 1.41 | 1.95 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 9 games Fer López featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Man Utd30 Dec | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brentford20 Dec | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal13 Dec | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Man Utd8 Dec | 36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland18 Oct | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leeds20 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Newcastle13 Sep | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Everton30 Aug | 26 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Man City16 Aug | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Fer López have a shot on target?
Over the last 9 Premier League games, Fer López has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% (1 of 9). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Fer López average?
Across the last 9 Premier League games, Fer López is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 1.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Fer López get booked?
Fer López is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 9 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Fer López commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 9 games Fer López commits 2.29 fouls per 90 and wins 1.53 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Fer López?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Fer López plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.