What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Gianluca Scamacca has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Gianluca Scamacca has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluca ScamaccaAtalantaUEFA Champions League | 10 | 3.35 | 1.76 |
| Liam DelapNottingham Forest | 28 | 2.84 | 1.98 |
| Zian FlemmingIpswich Town | 29 | 2.64 | 2.49 |
| Kai HavertzArsenal | 12 | 2.78 | 1.23 |
| Taiwo AwoniyiCoventry City | 17 | 2.69 | 1.79 |
| Joshua ZirkzeeManchester United | 24 | 3.38 | 1.22 |
| These 5, combined | 2.82 | 1.95 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Gianluca Scamacca featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Wolves14 Jan | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Leeds4 Jan | 67 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Brentford30 Dec | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leicester12 Nov | 90 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Crystal Palace6 Nov | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd30 Oct | 57 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bournemouth24 Oct | 74 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool19 Oct | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Southampton16 Oct | 87 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fulham9 Oct | 80 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Gianluca Scamacca have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Gianluca Scamacca has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Gianluca Scamacca average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Gianluca Scamacca is averaging 1.04 shots on target and 3.37 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Gianluca Scamacca get booked?
Gianluca Scamacca is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Gianluca Scamacca commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Gianluca Scamacca commits 1.56 fouls per 90 and wins 0.91 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gianluca Scamacca?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Gianluca Scamacca plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.