What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Gianluca Scamacca has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Gianluca Scamacca in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta | 24 | 3.89 | 1.77 |
| Lautaro MartínezInter | 30 | 3.80 | 1.94 |
| Marcus ThuramInter | 29 | 3.48 | 2.02 |
| Gift OrbanHellas Verona | 28 | 3.76 | 1.02 |
| Moise KeanComo | 26 | 4.31 | 1.28 |
| Nikola KrstovićAtalanta | 33 | 4.99 | 2.27 |
| These 5, combined | 4.05 | 1.69 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Gianluca Scamacca featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Juventus20 Sep | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cagliari12 Sep | 68 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma5 Sep | 45 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Bologna31 Aug | 68 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sassuolo23 Aug | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Fiorentina22 May | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Genoa2 May | 57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari27 Apr | 90 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Juventus11 Apr | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Inter14 Mar | 51 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Gianluca Scamacca have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Gianluca Scamacca has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Gianluca Scamacca average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Gianluca Scamacca is averaging 1.49 shots on target and 2.60 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Gianluca Scamacca get booked?
Gianluca Scamacca is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Gianluca Scamacca commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Gianluca Scamacca commits 1.67 fouls per 90 and wins 1.67 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gianluca Scamacca?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Gianluca Scamacca plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.