Ivan Toney
Striker 100% of 30 recent starts BrentfordPremier League 23/24
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ivan Toney has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ivan Toney featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle19 May | 90 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Bournemouth11 May | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Fulham4 May | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Everton27 Apr | 90 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Aston Villa6 Apr | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brighton3 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Man Utd30 Mar | 90 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Burnley16 Mar | 90 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Arsenal9 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Chelsea2 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Ivan Toney have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ivan Toney has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ivan Toney average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Ivan Toney is averaging 1.10 shots on target and 3.08 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ivan Toney get booked?
Ivan Toney is averaging 0.33 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ivan Toney commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ivan Toney commits 1.98 fouls per 90 and wins 1.43 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ivan Toney?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ivan Toney plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.