Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 24/25
JA

Jan Bednarek

Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts FC PortoPremier League 24/25

Also in: Championship

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Total shots0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Fouls won0.60 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
Fouls committed0.60 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
Tackles1.44 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jan Bednarek has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

Jan Bednarek has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Jan BednarekFC PortoUEFA Europa League 120.30 1.29
Max KilmanWest Ham United 210.40 0.92
Nathan CollinsBrentford 350.61 0.61
Tyrone MingsAston Villa 170.61 0.68
Wesley FofanaChelsea 250.42 1.41
Issa DiopIpswich Town 130.22 0.98
These 5, combined 0.49 0.88

Recent matches

The last 10 games Jan Bednarek featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Man City10 May 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Leicester3 May 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fulham26 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ West Ham19 Apr 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
Aston Villa12 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 1 1
@ Tottenham6 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 3 0
Crystal Palace2 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 1 1
@ Liverpool8 Mar 19 0 0 0 0 2 0
Brighton22 Feb 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bournemouth15 Feb 90 0 0 1 1 3 0
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 5 games Jan Bednarek booked in 2 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Tony Harrington 4 games Jan Bednarek booked in 1 3.83cards/game 0.94×vs league
Michael Salisbury 3 games Jan Bednarek booked in 2 4.08cards/game 1.00×vs league
Thomas Bramall 3 games Jan Bednarek booked in 1 4.07cards/game 1.00×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Jan Bednarek have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jan Bednarek has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Jan Bednarek average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Jan Bednarek is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Jan Bednarek get booked?

Jan Bednarek is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Jan Bednarek commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Jan Bednarek commits 0.60 fouls per 90 and wins 0.60 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jan Bednarek?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jan Bednarek plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.