What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship centre-back, 25/26, 2,357 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Jan Bednarek has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Jan Bednarek has no Championship record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Championship centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan BednarekFC PortoUEFA Europa League | 12 | 0.30 | 1.29 |
| Dion SandersonDerby County | 7 | 0.31 | 1.08 |
| Ben CabangoSwansea City | 6 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| Sean McLoughlinBlackburn Rovers | 8 | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Dominic HyamWrexham | 8 | 0.41 | 1.24 |
| Max KilmanWest Ham United | 9 | 0.44 | 0.78 |
| These 5, combined | 0.47 | 0.95 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Jan Bednarek featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Leeds26 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| West Brom17 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ West Brom12 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Leeds4 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Stoke City27 Apr | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leicester23 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Cardiff City20 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Preston North End16 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Watford13 Apr | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers6 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Jan Bednarek have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Jan Bednarek has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Jan Bednarek average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Jan Bednarek is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.58 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Jan Bednarek get booked?
Jan Bednarek is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Jan Bednarek commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Jan Bednarek commits 0.46 fouls per 90 and wins 0.58 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jan Bednarek?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jan Bednarek plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.