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Championship · 25/26
JA

Jan Bednarek

Defender · Southampton · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Jan Bednarek has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 45 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
50%5 of 10
0.58
40%4 of 10
0.58
40%4 of 10
0.46
30%3 of 10
0.35
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Southampton at Watford
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Jan Bednarek featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Leeds26 May 90 0 0 1 0 1
West Brom17 May 90 0 0 1 1 0
@ West Brom12 May 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ Leeds4 May 90 0 0 1 0 1
Stoke City27 Apr 45 0 1 0 0 0
@ Leicester23 Apr 90 0 1 0 1 0
@ Cardiff City20 Apr 90 0 1 1 0 1
Preston North End16 Apr 90 0 1 0 0 0
Watford13 Apr 10 0 1 0 1 0
@ Blackburn Rovers6 Apr 90 0 0 0 2 0
Officials on record
David Webb 5 games · Jan Bednarek booked in 1 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
Oliver Langford 4 games · Jan Bednarek booked in 1 3.74cards/game 0.93×vs league
James Bell 4 games · Jan Bednarek never booked 3.96cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Jan Bednarek have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Jan Bednarek has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Jan Bednarek average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Jan Bednarek is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.58 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Jan Bednarek get booked?

Jan Bednarek is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Jan Bednarek commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Jan Bednarek commits 0.46 fouls per 90 and wins 0.58 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jan Bednarek?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Jan Bednarek plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.